Patriots (PK) and first half under 24 One thing about Super Bowls is they don't tend to start with a bang.
Hot ‘dogs: NFL Week 5
Week 4 proved fruitful for short underdogs, as six won outright – the Bills, Browns, Vikings, Cardinals, Chargers and Patriots – paying out in the +120-to-150 range. The ‘dogs have been barking, so let’s get right to some good-action Week 5 plays on the moneyline.
Titans +125 vs. Chiefs
There are few teams generating as much public buzz as the Chiefs, who are one of five remaining unbeaten squads. There’s no disputing the quality of their wins over the Cowboys, Eagles and Giants, but it’s also also noteworthy that all reside in the NFC East – the division Andy Reid knows better than any. From a preparation standpoint, Reid’s familiarity with his former rivals can’t be underestimated. That edge he’s been able to provide the Chiefs will disappear vs. the Titans, a team the Eagles played only once since 2007 under Reid’s watch. Tennessee, meanwhile, is no pushover, having already knocked off the Steelers, Chargers and Jets while blowing a fourth-quarter lead against the Texans in their only loss.
Ravens +125 in Miami
Despite the Ravens being the road team, there is solid value in this moneyline. Joe Flacco is 3-0 in his career vs. the Dolphins (including playoffs) and is coming off a five-interception game in Buffalo last week that ranked among his worst performances. Flacco will be better and Ray Rice is certain to be featured after getting just five touches vs. the Bills. This is also a great spot to blindly bet against the Dolphins, who not only took a licking in New Orleans on Monday night but are also coming off the short week straight into a 1 pm game.
Colts +125 vs. Seahawks
A team many had pegged for a marked regression, the Colts have instead surged to a 3-1 start highlighted by a 20-point win in San Francisco. Getting a plus moneyline on Indianapolis at home is tough to pass up, as Andrew Luck is 8-2 at Lucas Oil Stadium in his career. And while the Seahawks – on a four-game road winning streak dating back to last year – have bucked a recent historical trend of struggling away from CenturyLink Field, they’ve nonetheless been shaky in both of their road games this season, needing fourth-quarter comebacks in Carolina and Houston (the latter requiring a complete meltdown by the Texans).
Overall picks: 2-1
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